Friday, November 2, 2018

Week 10 College Football Picks: Alabama Travels To The Bayou And The Biggest Game In The History Of Kentucky Football



This is unequivocally the best on paper weekend of the college football season so far, and there’s a good chance no other Saturday will top it the rest of the regular season. We’ve got ranked teams clashing in the Big Ten and the Big 12, the SEC East championship game, and to top it all off, LSU-Bama! Holy crap! Ladies, get ready to be ignored by your husbands/boyfriends tomorrow. If you wanted to go to a pumpkin patch picking, I hope he already took you because you won’t be able to get him off the couch for about 12 straight hours.
Let’s start here, though…
Charlotte at Tennessee
I feel obligated to mention the Vols, though there’s a pretty good chance I won’t watch a single second of this game because it’s Charlotte, there’s nothing to be learned from what happens, and there will be about a million other more interesting games going on at the same time. The 49ers are 4-4, haven’t beaten or lost to anyone substantial, and if the program folded tomorrow I’m not sure anyone would be up in arms about it. Winning tomorrow will do nothing for Jeremy Pruitt, and it certainly won’t take the sour taste out of every Vol fan's mouths after how they blew the South Carolina game last Saturday, in what was a very Butch Jones-esque fashion. The Vols should take care of business tomorrow and follow that up by getting the fun task of dealing with the ninth-ranked Kentucky Wildcats next Saturday, who could be the division champs when that game is played. Wow.
If they don’t win? My god. Get ready for an all-time rock bottom column from me. I’m going to sound suicidal and they might have to stick me with about 500 horse tranquilizers to calm me down.
Prediction: Tennessee
Louisville at #2 Clemson
I’ve not been a believer in Clemson all season (and I’m still not), but the one thing they’ve been able to do with consistently this season is beat the hell out of crappy ACC teams. They’ve won their last three conference games by a combined score of 163-20 and just dealt Florida State their biggest home loss in school history. Meanwhile, this might be the worst Louisville team in the history of the program, and the only thing that’s been more embarrassing for Cardinals' coach Bobby Petrino than the team he’s fielded this year was when he got into that motorcycle accident.
Louisville has played only one Power 5 opponent to less 24 points the entire season. 1! Out of 6 chances!
Clemson is going to rip Louisville’s chest open and yank their heart out like in the Temple of Doom.
Prediction: Clemson by 45
#20 Texas A&M at Auburn
I have no feel for this game either way. The Aggies were starting to get some long shot playoff buzz until they went into Starkville and got blasted by Mississippi State, a team that literally looked afraid to throw the football the week prior at LSU. On the other hand, there’s Auburn, who has lost three times, is saddled by an overpaid coach (Gus Malzahn) with a flagrantly high buyout ($32 million!), and is trotting out a senior quarterback who gets donkey brains from time to time and all the sudden forgets the very basics of the position. I like A&M’s future better, but that has no bearing on how tomorrow will turn out. In situations like this, I’d oftentimes side with the coach who needed the game more, and you’d think that’d be Malzahn, except for the fact that, again, HIS BUYOUT IS $32 MILLION, meaning he isn’t getting fired after tomorrow unless he gets caught with a wild animal in his bed or starts cooking crystal meth in an RV and becomes the real life Heisenberg. I guess I’ll take the Tigers here because they’re coming off their bye week, while A&M is playing its second consecutive road game. I don’t feel good about it though!
Prediction: Auburn
#13 West Virginia at #17 Texas
In what is playoff elimination game for WVU, the winner of this game is going to be whichever team sucks the least amount on defense. I was going to comment here and say something like, “Wow, isn’t it crazy that West Virginia has only given up 30 points or more twice all season? Maybe I’ve been too hard on their lack of defensive prowess” until I took a closer look at their opponents and reminded myself that they haven’t played a single team that is currently ranked. Here’s their wins: they beat Tennessee, who is awful; Youngstown State, who is an FCS team; Kansas State, who is 3-5; Texas Tech, who put up 34 on them despite the fact that they’re coached by Kliff Kingsbury, the "most beautiful man in college sports"; Kansas, who hasn’t had a winning season since 2008; and Baylor, who is 4-4 and has been torched a million times already this season. Their only loss was to Iowa State, who held them to 7 offensive points and basically did everything but introduce them to The Gimp. I think this is a very torch-able defense that’s lucky they’ve played one of the worst schedules of any Top 25 team, and them holding Texas to under 30 points tomorrow seems less likely than me being able to get a date in high school.
Of course, the Texas defense is abominable too; Oklahoma State went up and down the field on them last Saturday, and they almost blew a 21 point lead back in October to Kyler Murray and Oklahoma. Will Grier should be able to do whatever he wants against the Longhorn defense, and this one is probably going to come down to whoever has the ball last.
Another important detail here; we’ve never had a greater instance of the “Head Coach Nightlife Bowl” than this one. Tom Herman allegedly visited a strip club with shamed former Ohio State wide receivers coach Zach Smith when they were both on a recruiting trip together back in 2014, while Dana Holgorsen had several alcohol-related incidents back in 2011, including being tossed out of a casino due to his drunkenness. Of course, to be fair, every time I see Holgorsen, I just assume he’s had a few too many based solely on how his hair looks.
Will this have any bearing on how the game turns out? Nope! But I just thought it was worth mentioning. Get ready strip clubs of Austin, Texas, Tom Herman is going to be ready to party!
Prediction: Texas
#14 Penn State at #5 Michigan
The Wolverines haven’t allowed more than 319 yards in any game this season, and have given up less than 300 yards six times, including in each of their last five games. We could be talking about one of the greatest defenses in the history of college football here, particularly if they can hold Penn State QB Trace McSorley in check tomorrow, a guy who accounted for 461 yards all by himself against Ohio State back on September 29th.
I’ve been riding the Michigan bandwagon for at least the last month, and I don’t know why I’d jump off now. The Wolverines, coming off their bye week, have had 14 days to prepare for this game, and it’s not like Penn State’s defense is good enough, particularly in the back end, to challenge what has been at times a sloppy Michigan offense. I like the Wolverines by double digits here.
Prediction: Michigan
#4 Notre Dame at Northwestern
This feels like the blowout of the weekend and I’m not sure why any Notre Dame fan would be scared going into this one. Sure, Northwestern pounded Wisconsin last week, but are we sure the Badgers are even good? They lost to BYU at home and looked like they didn’t even belong in the same conference as Michigan a few weeks ago. Plus, Northwestern lost to Akron back in September, needed a miracle comeback to beat an awful Nebraska team three weeks ago, and only beat Rutgers by three points on October 20th, who might be the worst team in the entire FBS. Meanwhile, since Notre Dame switched quarterbacks to Ian Book before their 4th game of the season, they’ve won all but one of their games by at least three touchdowns. When the Irish are up 35-10 in the 4th quarter you’re going to remember reading this and think to yourself, “Wow that Matt guy is pretty smart, isn’t he? Of course, he roots for Tennessee every week, which is basically like lighting yourself on fire and then attempting to put it out with gasoline. So… maybe he’s not that smart?”
Prediction: Notre Dame
#7 Oklahoma at Texas Tech
The Red Raiders have given up 40 or more points four times already this season, which is an abominable recipe for them going against OU’s Kyler Murray, who has already led the Sooner offense to six 40 point performances so far this season. Could Oklahoma go for 70 tomorrow night? Against that putrid Red Raider defense, why the hell not?
Side note: earlier in this space I made reference to Kliff Kingsbury being the most beautiful man in college sports, and I thought I should revisit that here for a second. Here’s the thing about ole Kliff; he’s supposedly the best looking college coach in the entire country, but that’s about as prestigious as being the most beautiful woman in a West Virginia holler. Not a whole lot of competition there. 
Ladies, if Kliff was just a normal guy who worked in your office, you wouldn’t give him a second look. He’s just like Justin Timberlake in that respect. If JT couldn’t sing and dance he’d never get a date unless his mother set it up for him. Just like me in high school, actually.
#6 Georgia at #9 Kentucky
This is arguably the biggest home game in the history of Kentucky football, with the winner clinching the SEC East and the loser all but eliminating themselves from playoff consideration.
My “favorite” thing about this game was the interview Kentucky’s Benny Snell gave to Bleacher Report yesterday, where he said a bunch of outlandish things, including, “We’re not a basketball school anymore”. Um, yes, Benny, you guys still are. You haven’t won an outright SEC football title since 1950, and this is your first half decent season in over a decade. Meanwhile your basketball team is perennially ranked in the Top 5 and has won eight national championships. But sure, a single 7-1 start totally makes you a football school now.
But Snell’s most eye-popping quote came when he was discussing recruiting rankings and those who make them. “Why do they get to say who gets five stars and who gets three stars? That whole ranking system at the camps, it’s like you’re put through a slave process. It’s like, ‘Who’s the best slave? He’s good at speed, well, then he gets a 5-star. He’s not? Well, you get a 3-star’”. Jesus, someone cut his mike off! Only in 2018 America could a football player compare his recruiting process to slavery and get no push back from anyone. Yes Benny, you’re absolutely right, getting evaluated by recruiting “experts” so you can go play on national TV every week and get a free education is exactly like slavery. It’s just like a slave auction! What an awful, horrible take. No player will say a dumber thing in any sport this season or maybe even next season. My god.
As far as this game, I think Georgia wins by double digits and Kentucky struggles to move the ball most of the day. They’ve had some absolutely abominable offensive performances so far this season against defenses that are worse than what the ‘Dawgs will trot out there tomorrow. The Wildcats didn’t run a single play in Texas A&M territory when they played in October, and they scored only 9 offensive points last week against a Mizzou defense that everyone’s moved the ball on all season.
Prediction: Georgia
#1 Alabama at #3 LSU
Here’s all you need to know about this game; when asked this week if his team would choose to receive or kick should they win the opening coin toss, Nick Saban responded by saying, “To be honest with you, I hope we elect to kick ass, is what I hope we do”. Well alright then! Good luck Tigers!
Here’s the other thing LSU has to worry about: unless Ed Orgeron rises out of the swamps of the Bayou with an entire team full of swamp men who run faster and jump higher than everyone on the Alabama side, it feels like they have no shot tomorrow. I’ve been wrong about a ton of stuff with Coach O so far, but what I’m sure I’m right about is the fact that he’s never going to beat Saban in a game. And it definitely won’t happen with the quarterback he has. Joe Burrow has been good in spots for the Tigers, but slow, statuesque pocket quarterbacks haven’t exactly been Saban’s undoing. Think about the guys that have given Saban trouble, or even beaten him while he’s been at Alabama; Johnny Manziel, Deshaun Watson, Cardale Jones, Cam Newton, Nick Marshall… are you seeing a pattern here? It’s all guys who are just as much a threat with their legs as they are with their arm. Burrow runs about as well as I do and that’s with me getting fatter and fatter by the day.
Look, I want this to be a good game. And hell, maybe LSU is the first team that can actually challenge Tua's air attack, but the Tide have wiped the floor with everyone on their schedule for a reason, and I’m betting that’s what will eventually happen this weekend.
Prediction: Alabama
Enjoy football this weekend!

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